Hexun
If you have sunshine in your heart, you will not fear the roughness in front; if you have courage in your heart, you will not cringe; no matter how big the wind is, how big the rain is, the past is a vast sky! Life does not need sorrow, the beauty of life is strong Walk through the rough!
[Market Review and Fundamental List]
The US dollar index closed down in the middle of the day and closed near the 96.00 mark to the 96.11 line. The short-term strategy of running the middle of the pen, the US dollar for the Asian session yesterday is still maintaining a strong sideways, and the shock rallied to refuse to withdraw. However, the upside did not break through the 1-hour operating range. In the afternoon, the upside was under pressure from the non-agricultural highs. Then the bulls replenished and the dollar began to fall. The short-term downtrend in the European session broke through the MA30 for one hour, establishing the downside, followed by a small After rebounding and consuming the long position of the bottom-selling market, the US session time fell again. There was no multi-head resistance in the plate, which directly penetrated the MA60 for 1 hour. Approaching the 96.00 mark. The bears were strong, and the dollar remained weak and volatile in the evening, and the bulls were unable to counterattack. Today's high-altitude ideas can be continued.
New York Federal Reserve: US household debt increased by 0.3% in the second quarter to $12.29 trillion. Debt growth is mainly driven by car loans and credit cards. The debt default in the second quarter was reduced from 5% in the first quarter to 4.8%.
US June wholesale inventories were 0.3%, expected to be 0.0%, and the previous value was revised from 0.1% to 0.2%. US June wholesale sales were 1.9%, expected 0.5%, and the previous value of 0.5% was revised to 0.7%.
The initial value of non-agricultural productivity in the US in the second quarter was -0.5%, which was the third consecutive quarterly decline; expected 0.4%, the previous value was -0.6%. In the second quarter of the United States, the initial labor cost of non-agricultural units was 2%, and it was expected to be 1.8%. The former value of 4.5% was revised to -0.2%.
Gold again hit the bottom of the night and rebounded to the small line to 1340. In the middle of the day, the author expected that the gold in the Asian session was retraced continuously, and once again, the first line of the 1330 line was re-bounced under the support of the 1 hour interval. The rebounding bulls were not ready to go straight to the upside, and the willingness to switch the disk was insufficient. There was a second retracement, but the retracement did not hit a new low, verifying the effectiveness of the support. Then the dollar fell again, which gave the gold bulls a good chance to attack. Gold bullish violence rose, directly breaking through the upper rail of 1338. Standing on the 1340 line. Strong sideways in the evening, refused to retrace. Standing on the 1 hour MA60. Established a rebound. Today's continuation of low-level ideas can be.
The world's largest gold ETF--SPDR GOLD TRUST position decreased by 0.12% from the previous day, and the current position is 972.62 tons.
US 10-year benchmark Treasury prices rose 12/32, and its yield fell 4.1 basis points to 1.545%. The 30-year US Treasury price rose by one point, and its yield fell by 4.4 basis points to 2.257%.
The US dollar bond price rose by 1/32 in the two-year period, and its yield fell by 0.8 basis points to 0.714%. The five-year US bond price rose by 5/32, and its yield fell by 3.4 basis points to 1.107%.
The euro yesterday, under the support of the 20th line, received Xiaoyang's attack on the station at the 1.1100 mark. Yesterday, during the Asian session, the euro was dominated by weak consolidation. Under the support of the 4-hour MA120, the intraday trading session fluctuated within a narrow range and refused to deepen the correction. The lowest intraday trading was 1.1070, and the one-hour market was dominated by the sideways. The bullish counterattack prepared the conditions. During the short-term attack in the European trading session, the pressure on the top of the test was tested. The pressure was reduced by 1 hour and the MA60 was retraced. In the evening, relying on the opportunity of the US dollar's heavy setback, it took a moment to stand up for an hour of MA60, establishing a rebound and breaking through the 1.1100 mark. Today's continuation of low-level ideas can be.
Switzerland's unregulated unemployment rate was 3.1% in July, with an expected 3.1% and a previous value of 3.1%. Switzerland's adjusted unemployment rate in July was 3.3%, 3.3% expected, and the previous value was 3.3%.
Germany's June export adjusted by 0.3%, expected 1.1%, the previous value was revised from -1.8% to -1.9%. Germany's imports in June were 1% higher than the previous month, expected 0.6%, and the previous value was revised from 0.1% to 0.0%.
Germany did not adjust its trade account by 24.9 billion euros in June, with an expected price of 23 billion euros and a previous value of 21 billion euros.
Sterling continued to bear short positions yesterday and closed the small Yinxian line at 1.300, indicating that the pound is still quite weak. Yesterday, the British pound voluntarily retraced during the Asian session, continuing the four-hour short-selling trend, and the one-hour continuation of the negative, gradually falling back. In early trading, it fell below the 1.300 mark and continued to fall. The intraday longs did not have obvious resistance, indicating that the current sterling bulls are not confident enough. After the European market went down to the 1.955 line, it bottomed out, but the rebound was small. In the morning, it rose to the MA30 and started to rebound. Today, it is dominated by low-level ideas.
UK June merchandise trade account - 12.409 billion pounds, the highest deficit since March 2015; expected - 100.75 billion pounds, the previous value was revised from -9.879 billion pounds to -115.26 billion pounds.
Britain's June non-EU trade account - 4.159 billion pounds, expected -25.63 billion pounds, the previous value was revised from -25.66 million pounds to -35.60 billion pounds. The UK's overall trade in goods and services in June was -5.084 billion pounds, expected to be -25 billion pounds, and the previous value was revised from -2,263 million pounds to -42.27 million pounds.
UK industrial output in June was 0.1%, expected 0.1%, and the previous value -0.5% was revised to -0.6%. UK industrial output in June was 1.6% year-on-year, with an expected 1.6% and a previous value of 1.4%.
UK manufacturing output in June was -0.3%, expected -0.2%, and the previous value -0.5% was revised to -0.6%. UK manufacturing output in June was 0.9% year-on-year, with an expected 1.3%, and the previous value of 1.7% was revised to 1.5%.
Crude oil rallied yesterday to retreat to the cross star at 42.70. During the Asian trading session, crude oil continued to withdraw for 1 hour and sought support. The intraday trading volume went down and the MA 30 gained support in 1 hour. The European market began to rebound and the intraday market rose rapidly. After approaching the 4-hour high of 43.40, the disk was unstable, the shorts sneaked many times, and the intraday dive quickly. After rushing to 43.50 in the short line, the short-term flash collapsed again, indicating that the bulls began to fail. In the evening, it was finally under pressure on the 120-day line, and the attack failed and continued to retrace. In the evening, the bears returned to the original point to receive the cross star, showing that the pressure is heavy at the top, today is dominated by high altitude.
In the US on August 8th, API crude oil inventories were +2.089 million barrels, expected to be -95 million barrels, and the previous value was -1.34 million barrels. In the US on August 8th, the API gasoline stock was -3.949 million barrels, and the previous value was -45 million barrels. In the US on August 8th, the API refined oil stocks were -15.8 million barrels, and the previous value was +54 million barrels. In the US on August 8th, the API Cushing area crude oil inventory +1.253 million barrels, the previous value -1.34 million barrels.
EIA Monthly Report: Revise up US oil output forecast for 2016-17. Lower 2017 WTI crude oil price is expected to reach 51.58 US dollars / barrel, previously expected to be 52.15 US dollars / barrel. The 2016 WTI crude oil price is expected to fall to US$41.16/barrel, which was previously expected to be US$43.57/barrel. The global crude oil demand growth rate is expected to increase by 10,000 barrels per day in 2016, and the current demand is expected to increase by 1.45 million barrels per day. The global crude oil demand growth forecast for 2017 is lowered by 40,000 barrels per day, and the demand is expected to increase by 1.45 million barrels per day. The 2016 natural gas output is expected to fall to 79.28 billion cubic feet per day. Downgrade 2016 US NYMEX natural gas price is expected to reach 2.41 US dollars / million British thermal units
[Overnight market review]
European stock market: Germany's DAX index closed up 263.14 points on Tuesday, August 2, or 2.52%, to 10695.50 points. The UK's FTSE 100 index closed up 40.17 points on August 9 (Tuesday), or 0.59%, to 6849.30 points. The French CAC40 index closed at 45.04 points on August 9 (Tuesday), an increase of 1.02% to 4,460.50 points; the Spanish IBEX35 index closed at 108.00 points on August 9 (Tuesday), an increase of 1.26% to 8670.50 points; Italy FTSE The index closed at 29.18 points on August 9 (Tuesday), an increase of 0.17% to 16773.00 points.
US stock market: The Dow Jones index closed at 3.76 points, or 0.02%, at 18,533.05 points on August 09 (Tuesday); the S&P 500 index closed at 1.21 points on August 09 (Tuesday), up 0.06%, to 2182.1 points; The Starck Index closed at 12.34 points (Wednesday) on August 09 (Wednesday), or 0.24%, to 5,225.48 points.
Domestic market: Shanghai Gold Exchange gold T+D on Tuesday (August 9th) closed up 0.43% at 287.26 yuan / gram in late trading; Shanghai Gold Exchange silver T + D Tuesday (August 9) closed up 0.33 in late trading % reported 4302.00 yuan / kg.
[Today's attention]
Wednesday, August 10, 2016
14:45 French industrial output monthly rate in June
22:30 EIA crude oil inventories from the US to August 5
(Time to be determined) OPEC announces monthly crude oil market report
[Today's actual strategy]
[gold]
Gold yesterday's Asian market 1 hour bottoming out of the 1330 line under the support of the lower section of the range began to rebound, the second retracement of the European session did not hit a new low, verifying the effectiveness of support. In the evening, with the dollar falling, the gold bulls seized a good chance of attack. The bullish violence has pulled high and directly broke through the upper rail of 1338. Standing on the 1 hour MA60. Established a rebound, strong sideways in the evening, refused to retrace, showing strong confidence in the market bulls, early challenge 4 hours MA60, strong and full, today is expected to rise again. Today's continuation of low-level ideas can be.
Today's actual strategy: gold in the 1340 line is much lower, stop loss 1335 area, the first target 1349 area. The second target 1252 area. Concerned about 1352 first-line suppression.
[US dollar index]
The US dollar index held a one-hour Asian market yesterday and remained volatility and refused to withdraw. However, the upside is very limited. The intraday upside did not break through the non-agricultural highs, the bulls did not intend to chase the high, then the long-term replenishment caused the dollar to peak, the European plate fell again and broke through the 1 hour MA30, established the downward opening, the evening air force suppressed the US dollar again Frustrated. Directly penetrated the MA60 for 1 hour and announced the end of the rebound. In the evening, the continuous fall fell close to the 96.00 mark. The bears are strong and the bulls are unable to counterattack. After the opening of the US dollar in the morning, it fell again, showing that the short-selling atmosphere is serious.
Today's actual strategy: the US dollar at 96.00 first-line high-altitude, stop loss 96.20 area, the first target 95.60 area. The second target is the 95.50 area.
[EUR/USD]
The euro continued to weaken its consolidation in the Asian session yesterday. The intraday round of the four-hour MA120 fluctuated within a narrow range and lacked rebound momentum. However, it refused a deep pullback under the support of the 4-hour MA120. The lowest intraday test was 1.1070, and the one-hour was mainly horizontal. The short-term attack on the short-term line was under the one-hour MA60 retracement and failed to directly break through the upside. Regained momentum, relying on the dollar to fall in the evening, multi-hair counterattack, relying on the 20-day line and 1 hour MA120 support, the long-term bang, directly stood on the 1 hour MA60, established a rebound, broke through the 1.1100 mark suppression. In the morning, the attack was regained 4 hours of MA60, which continued to be strong.
Today's actual strategy: the euro is much lower at 1.1110, with a stop loss of 1.1060 and a target of 1.1180.
[GBP to USD]
Sterling yesterday's Asian plate continued the four-hour short-selling trend, one hour followed the yin, fell below the 1.300 mark in early trading, continued to fall, the intraday bulls did not have obvious resistance, indicating that the current sterling bulls lack confidence. After the European market went down to the 1.955 line, it began to bottom out after 4 hours and 1 hour of support from the Bollinger Band. After the MA30 was put up in the morning session, the bulls attacked again. After standing for 1 hour, the MA60 established a rebound. Today, the main idea is low. Pay attention to the suppression of the lower rail of the upper 4-hour platform.
Today's actual strategy: the pound is lower at 1.3020, with a stop loss of 1.2970 and a target of 1.3095. Focus on the 1.3100 area suppression.
[New York Crude Oil]
Crude oil retraced continuously for 1 hour in Asian market yesterday. It gained support in 1 hour MA 30, and it quickly rose in the session. After approaching the 4-hour high point of 43.40, the disk was unstable. The short-selling sneaked and quickly dipped, and the short-term broke through 4 hours. After rushing to 43.50, there was another short-term flash crash, indicating that the bulls began to fail. Since the 43.50 line is the 60-week line and the 120-day line, the 4-hour Bollinger is on the upper rail, and many places where the repression meets, the short-selling counterattacks, and finally the pressure on the 120-day line in the evening, the attack failed, and the short-selling back to the origin date The line receives the cross star, showing that the pressure on the top is heavy, and today it is dominated by high altitude.
Today's actual strategy: crude oil at 43.00 first-line high altitude, stop loss 43.50 area, target 42.20 area.
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